Podknife - How Polls Got Brexit "Wrong" by Linear Digressions

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How Polls Got Brexit "Wrong"

Podcast |: Linear Digressions
Publisher |: Ben Jaffe and Katie Malone
Media Type |: audio
Podknife tags |: Data Science,; Machine Learning,; Technology
Categories Via RSS |: Technology
Publication Date |: Aug 08, 2016
Episode Duration |: 00:15:14

Continuing the discussion of how polls do (and sometimes don't) tell us what to expect in upcoming elections--let's take a concrete example from the recent past, shall we? The Brexit referendum was, by and large, expected to shake out for "remain", but when the votes were counted, "leave" came out ahead. Everyone was shocked (SHOCKED!) but maybe the polls weren't as wrong as the pundits like to claim. Relevant links: http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/moneybox/2016/07/why_political_betting_markets_are_failing.html http://andrewgelman.com/2016/06/24/brexit-polling-what-went-wrong/

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