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PE7: Exponential trendline on gold price (V) - Publication Date |
- Jan 18, 2023
- Episode Duration |
- 00:17:02
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This is the seventh video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.
Contents
00:00 Intro
00:35 Four basic trendlines
01:02 Gold briefly
03:17 Exponential regression formula
05:27 Diagram exponential trendline linear scale
06:34 Exponential regression trendline
07:50 Mean
08:55 R-squared (75%)
11:57 Predictive trend
13:55 Log scale
15:03 Non-linear R-squared caution
Here we run and explain an exponential trendline over the last 50+ years of gold price data.
Coefficients:
y = a * EXP (b * x)
y = y-intercept * EXP (slope * x)
y = 133 * EXP (0.41% * x)
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