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PE12: Exponential trend percentiles on silver price - Publication Date |
- Jan 24, 2023
- Episode Duration |
- 00:23:42
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This is the twelfth video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.
Contents
00:00 Intro
00:17 Silver briefly
04:10 Four basic trendlines
04:20 Exponential trendline on silver price (48% R-squared)
06:22 Hunt brothers
09:25 One sigma around trendline (66th percentile)
12:35 Two sigma around trendline (95th percentile)
20:30 What about the silver bulls?
Here we run and explain an exponential trendline over the last 50+ years of silver price data, and run percentile bands (standard deviations) around the regression.
Coefficients:
y = a * EXP (b * x)
y = y-intercept * EXP (slope * x)
y = 3.55 * EXP (0.27% * x)
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Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.
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