The latest Times polling shows the extent of the challenge that President Biden faces and the strengths that Donald J. Trump retains. A yearning for change — as well as discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza among young, Black and Hispanic voters — may lie behind both.

Nate Cohn, our chief political analyst, explains the surveys: New York Times/Siena College polls of Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, and the inaugural Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena poll in Pennsylvania.

Guest: Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The New York Times.

Background reading: 

• Surveys by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer reveal antrump-battleground-poll.html"> erosion of support for the president among young and nonwhite voters upset about the economy and Gaza.
• With polls showing that Trump is set to make a demographic breakthrough,biden-battlegrounds-senate.html"> ticket splitting is also back.

For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday.