Sean joins us to chat about ML models and tools at Lyft Rideshare Labs, Python vs R, time series forecasting with Prophet, and election forecasting.
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Sean Taylor is a Data Scientist at (and former Head of) Lyft Rideshare Labs, and specializes in methods for solving causal inference and business decision problems. Previously, he was a Research Scientist on Facebook's Core Data Science team. His interests include experiments, causal inference, statistics, machine learning, and economics.
Connect with Sean:
Personal website:
https://seanjtaylor.com/
Twitter:
https://twitter.com/seanjtaylor
LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/seanjtaylor/
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Topics Discussed:
0:00 Sneak peek, intro
0:50 Pricing algorithms at Lyft
07:46 Loss functions and ETAs at Lyft
12:59 Models and tools at Lyft
20:46 Python vs R
25:30 Forecasting time series data with Prophet
33:06 Election forecasting and prediction markets
40:55 Comparing and evaluating models
43:22 Bottlenecks in going from research to production
Transcript:
http://wandb.me/gd-sean-taylor
Links Discussed:
"How Lyft predicts a rider’s destination for better in-app experience"":
https://eng.lyft.com/how-lyft-predicts-your-destination-with-attention-791146b0a439
Prophet:
https://facebook.github.io/prophet/
Andrew Gelman's blog post "Facebook's Prophet uses Stan":
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2017/03/01/facebooks-prophet-uses-stan/
Twitter thread "Election forecasting using prediction markets":
https://twitter.com/seanjtaylor/status/1270899371706466304
"An Updated Dynamic Bayesian Forecasting Model for the 2020 Election":
https://hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/nw1dzd02/release/1
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