Podknife - One Special Election Can’t Forecast The Midterms by FiveThirtyEight Politics

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One Special Election Can’t Forecast The Midterms

Podcast |: FiveThirtyEight Politics
Publisher |: ESPN,; FiveThirtyEight
Media Type |: audio
Podknife tags |: Election,; News & Politics
Categories Via RSS |: News,; Politics
Publication Date |: Jun 07, 2021
Episode Duration |: 01:02:39

Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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