Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner are red hot in MLB betting. The guys preview the entire Wednesday MLB Playoff card. They also give out more winning best bets.
Introduction:
Host (Manaf Manji): Introduces the podcast (0:09) and explains a scheduling change allowing for discussions on all four MLB playoff series (0:09-0:51).
Griffin Warner: Acknowledges a profitable playoff season, reflecting on the regular season's success (0:52-1:08).
Discussion Highlights:
Orioles vs. Royals (0:27):
Manaf: Mentions Griffin's prediction on the under for the Orioles-Royals series, highlighting a dominant Royals pitching performance that limited the Orioles to three total runs.
Griffin: Notes the Royals advanced without any overs, indicating the defensive strength that helped the Royals (1:25-1:26).
Impact of Home Field & Umpiring:
Griffin: Discusses the significance of home-field advantage, mentioning all series being tied 1-1. He emphasizes the challenge for teams with no extra-innings games played thus far, noting the importance of "last at bats" and competent umpires (2:55-4:06).
Umpiring is critical, with Griffin noting that umpires are calling more strikes than usual, making it harder to score runs.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians (Game 3 Prediction):
Pitcher Analysis: Detroit's pitching strategy, led by Bo Brisky, is likely to challenge the Guardians, who rely on Alex Cobb, who hasn’t pitched in a postseason game since 2013 (4:54-9:48).
Griffin: Suggests the Tigers have an advantage with AJ Hinch's managerial experience and bullpen depth.
Manaf: Underscores Cobb's long gap between playoff appearances and suggests that the Tigers' ability to string hits together could carry them through.
Phillies vs. Mets (Game 4 Prediction):
Mets Confidence: The Mets lead the series 2-1, and Griffin discusses their momentum and superior bullpen despite flaws (12:36-14:51).
Player Performance: Manaf highlights the strong recent performances of Mets' pitcher Jose Quintana and Phillies' Ranger Suarez during the regular season. Quintana’s solid 7-inning shutout against the Phillies is noted (14:52-17:25).
Both predict a low-scoring game, favoring the under in the first five innings.
Yankees vs. Royals (Game 3 Prediction):
Griffin: Expresses skepticism about the Yankees’ ability to win on the road, emphasizing the importance of playoff baseball strategies like aggressive baserunning (stealing bases) and capitalizing on every opportunity (17:26-22:16).
Manaf: Points out the underwhelming postseason performance of Aaron Judge, particularly his high strikeout rate (21:02-22:15).
Both lean toward betting on the Royals and another under bet due to the tight defense and pitchers' performance.
Dodgers vs. Padres (Game 4 Prediction):
Griffin: Stresses the significance of the Dodgers’ struggling pitching rotation, with Landon Knack stepping in due to key injuries (26:36-31:26). He expects a high-scoring game but predicts that the Padres’ strong bullpen will help them close the series.
Manaf: Agrees, predicting early runs and suggesting a first five innings bet on the over as the best strategy.
Betting Advice and Best Bets:
Griffin’s Best Bet: Tigers to win at home, citing a mismatch between Cobb's long layoff and the Tigers’ efficient bullpen management (32:06-32:55).
Manaf’s Best Bet: Under four runs in the first five innings of the Phillies-Mets game, betting on solid starting pitching from Quintana and Suarez (32:55-34:37).
Conclusion:
The episode ends with a reflection on the successful season, with Griffin and Manaf thanking their listeners and promoting a
pregame.com discount (34:37-36:19). Both express optimism for continued success in predicting playoff outcomes.
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